Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Toronto Raptors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors — NBA game held on 2026-05-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Toronto RaptorsWINNER | 99% | 37% | 89% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 63% | 4% |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Toronto Raptors led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 23%.
Toronto Raptors held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto Raptors, Cleveland Cavaliers at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 62.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Toronto Raptors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket, 89¢ on ProphetX. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 62.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Toronto Raptors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Game 6: Cleveland at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:00AM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Toronto Raptors
74.9% avg
