Question 1

What was "Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Portland at 21%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers"?

Accepted Answer

Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Portland at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 40.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Portland: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 40.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 79% odds for Cleveland Cavaliers mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER	99%	59%
Portland	1%	42%

Cleveland Cavaliers Wins: Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers