Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Bulls. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-10
This market resolved on 2026-01-10. Chicago Bulls was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Chicago BullsWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 43% |
Mavericks vs. Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Bulls led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 22%.
Chicago Bulls held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Chicago Bulls, Dallas Mavericks at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Bulls: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Chicago Bulls would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Chicago Bulls
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the Dallas at Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
