Live prediction market odds for Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-15
nba-dal-cle-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - nba
Cleveland Cavaliers leads Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers at 56.8% implied probability, followed by Dallas Mavericks at 45.6%. A 82.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cleveland Cavaliers leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 46%.
Cleveland Cavaliers currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Dallas Mavericks at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 82.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cleveland Cavaliers: 71¢ on Kalshi, 89¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 31¢ on Kalshi, 12¢ on Polymarket, 94¢ on ProphetX. The 82.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Cleveland Cavaliers will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Cleveland Cavaliers
56.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Dallas at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 3:30PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
