Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-01
This market resolved on 2025-12-01. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 58%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 18% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 83% |
Mavericks vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 58% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 42%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 58% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Denver Nuggets at 42% were the next closest contenders. The 81.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. The 81.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ meant the market estimated a 58% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 58¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 72% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Mavericks
58.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Dallas vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
