Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-25
This market resolved on 2025-12-25. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 10% |
Mavericks vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 5%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Dallas Mavericks at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
94.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Dallas vs Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 25, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
