Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-31
This market resolved on 2026-01-31. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
nba-dal-hou-2026-01-31 : Sports event: Mavericks vs. Rockets - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 22% |
Mavericks vs. Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Rockets led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 11%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Dallas Mavericks at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Rockets
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
