Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 80% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 21% |
Mavericks vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 11%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Dallas Mavericks at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 19.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 19.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
89.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles L wins the Dallas vs Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
