Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-20
nba-dal-min-2026-02-20 : Sports event: Mavericks vs. Timberwolves - nba
Minnesota Timberwolves leads the “Mavericks vs. Timberwolves” event at 88.8% implied probability, followed by Dallas Mavericks at 12.9%. A 9.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves leads at 89% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 13%.
Minnesota Timberwolves currently leads at 89% implied probability. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Dallas Mavericks at 13% are the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 86¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 14¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ means the market estimates a 89% probability that Minnesota Timberwolves will be the outcome. Buying one share at 89¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 12% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Minnesota Timberwolves
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Dallas at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
