Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-22
This market resolved on 2025-12-22. New Orleans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New OrleansWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 51% |
Mavericks vs. Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Orleans led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 26%.
New Orleans held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans, Dallas Mavericks at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that New Orleans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New Orleans
74.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas vs New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 22, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
