Live prediction market odds for Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-16
nba-dal-nop-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans - nba
New Orleans leads Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans at 76.0% implied probability, followed by Dallas Mavericks at 25.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Orleans leads at 76% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 26%.
New Orleans currently leads at 76% implied probability. Behind New Orleans, Dallas Mavericks at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Orleans: 75¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 28¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ means the market estimates a 76% probability that New Orleans will be the outcome. Buying one share at 76¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 32% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
New Orleans
76.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 8:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
