Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-05
This market resolved on 2025-12-05. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 90% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 11% |
Mavericks vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oklahoma City led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 6%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Dallas Mavericks at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oklahoma City
94.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Dallas vs Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 5, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
