Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-27
This market resolved on 2025-12-27. Sacramento was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 87% |
Dallas Mavericks | 99% | 64% |
SacramentoWINNER | 1% | 37% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 14% |
Mavericks vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sacramento led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 81%, Sacramento at 19%, Dallas Mavericks at 7%.
Sacramento held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento, Dallas Mavericks at 81% and Sacramento at 19% and Dallas Mavericks at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 35.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 35.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that Sacramento would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Sacramento
92.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Dallas vs Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
