Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-29
This market resolved on 2025-12-29. Portland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PortlandWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 44% |
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portland led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 22%.
Portland held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Portland, Dallas Mavericks at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Portland would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Portland
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Portland wins the Dallas vs Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
