About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Jazz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-15
This market resolved on 2025-12-15. Utah was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
UtahWINNER | 99% | 44% |
UtahWINNER | 99% | 38% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 63% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 57% |
Mavericks vs. Jazz was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Utah led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Utah at 68%, Dallas Mavericks at 32%, Dallas Mavericks at 29%.
Utah held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Utah, Utah at 68% and Dallas Mavericks at 32% and Dallas Mavericks at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 61.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Utah: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Utah: 99¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. The 61.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Utah would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Utah
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Utah wins the Dallas vs Utah professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.