Live prediction market odds for Nuggets vs. Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-05
This market resolved on 2025-12-05. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Atlanta Hawks | 1% | 38% |
Nuggets vs. Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver Nuggets led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlanta Hawks at 19%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Atlanta Hawks at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver Nuggets
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Atlanta wins the Denver vs Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 5, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
