Question 1

What was "Nuggets vs. Bulls" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Nuggets vs. Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Denver Nuggets led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bulls at 12%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Nuggets vs. Bulls"?

Accepted Answer

Denver Nuggets held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Chicago Bulls at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 27.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Nuggets vs. Bulls" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 94¢ on ProphetX. Chicago Bulls: 1¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 27.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 88% odds for Denver Nuggets mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Denver NuggetsWINNER	99%	72%	94%
Chicago Bulls	1%	29%	8%

Denver Nuggets Wins: Nuggets vs. Bulls

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Nuggets vs. Bulls