Live prediction market odds for Nuggets vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-23
This market resolved on 2025-12-23. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 46% |
Dallas Mavericks | 99% | 33% |
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 1% | 68% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 55% |
Nuggets vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver Nuggets led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 66%, Denver Nuggets at 34%, Dallas Mavericks at 28%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Dallas Mavericks at 66% and Denver Nuggets at 34% and Dallas Mavericks at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 66.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The 66.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver Nuggets
72.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Denver vs Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
