Live prediction market odds for Nuggets vs. Pistons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
nba-den-det-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Nuggets vs. Pistons - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 37% |
Nuggets vs. Pistons was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Pistons led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 19%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Denver Nuggets at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 35.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 35.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Pistons
81.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Denver at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
