Live prediction market odds for Nuggets vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-29
This market resolved on 2025-12-29. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 45% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 56% |
Nuggets vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 28%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Denver Nuggets at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 54.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. The 54.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Miami Heat
71.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Denver vs Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
