Live prediction market odds for Nuggets vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-23
This market resolved on 2026-01-23. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 30% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 71% |
Nuggets vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver Nuggets led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 36%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Milwaukee Bucks at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 69.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. The 69.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver Nuggets
64.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Denver at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
