Live prediction market odds for Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-30
This market resolved on 2026-04-30. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA game held on 2026-04-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 28% | 96% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 72% | 3% |
Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 25%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Denver Nuggets at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 71.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 71.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Game 6: Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Minnesota Timberwolves
74.4% avg
