Live prediction market odds for Nuggets vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-27
This market resolved on 2025-12-27. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 40% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 61% |
Nuggets vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 31%.
Orlando held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Denver Nuggets at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
69.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Denver vs Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
