Question 1

What was "Pistons vs. Hornets" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Pistons vs. Hornets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Detroit Pistons led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Charlotte Hornets at 18%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Pistons vs. Hornets"?

Accepted Answer

Detroit Pistons held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Charlotte Hornets at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Pistons vs. Hornets" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Charlotte Hornets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 84% odds for Detroit Pistons mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Detroit PistonsWINNER	99%	57%	95%
Charlotte Hornets	1%	44%	8%

Detroit Pistons Wins: Pistons vs. Hornets

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Pistons vs. Hornets