Question 1

What was "Pistons vs. Bulls" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Pistons vs. Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Detroit Pistons led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bulls at 13%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Pistons vs. Bulls"?

Accepted Answer

Detroit Pistons held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Chicago Bulls at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 16.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Pistons vs. Bulls" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Detroit Pistons: 83¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Chicago Bulls: 18¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 16.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 88% odds for Detroit Pistons mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Detroit PistonsWINNER	83%	83%	99%
Chicago Bulls	18%	18%	3%

Detroit Pistons Wins: Pistons vs. Bulls

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Pistons vs. Bulls