Live prediction market odds for Pistons vs. Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 5% |
Pistons vs. Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Pistons led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 3%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Cleveland Cavaliers at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Pistons
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Detroit vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
