Live prediction market odds for Pistons vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 31% |
Detroit Pistons | 1% | 70% |
Pistons vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Pistons at 35%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Detroit Pistons at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 68.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Detroit Pistons: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. The 68.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Mavericks
64.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Detroit vs Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
