Live prediction market odds for Pistons vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-30
This market resolved on 2026-01-30. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
nba-det-gsw-2026-01-30 : Sports event: Pistons vs. Warriors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 45% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 56% |
Pistons vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Pistons led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 28%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Golden State Warriors at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 54.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. The 54.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Pistons
71.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Detroit at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
