Live prediction market odds for Pistons vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-29
This market resolved on 2025-11-29. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 39% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 61% |
Pistons vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Pistons led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 31%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Miami Heat at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 60.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. The 60.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Pistons
69.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Detroit vs Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
