Live prediction market odds for Pistons vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-22
This market resolved on 2025-11-22. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 41% |
Detroit Pistons | 1% | 60% |
Pistons vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Pistons at 30%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, Detroit Pistons at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 58.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Detroit Pistons: 1¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. The 58.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Milwaukee Bucks
69.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Detroit vs Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 3, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
