Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-18
nba-gsw-bos-2026-03-18 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics - nba
Boston Celtics leads the “Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics” event at 79.8% implied probability, followed by Golden State Warriors at 19.0%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Boston Celtics leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 19%.
Boston Celtics currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Boston Celtics, Golden State Warriors at 19% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Boston Celtics: 79¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 19¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Boston Celtics will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Boston Celtics
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Golden State at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 18 at 7:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
