Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-06
This market resolved on 2025-12-06. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 24% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 77% |
Warriors vs. Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 61% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 39%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 61% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers at 39% were the next closest contenders. The 75.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. The 75.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ meant the market estimated a 61% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 61¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 64% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
61.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Golden State vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 6, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
