Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
nba-gsw-lal-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Warriors vs. Lakers - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 54% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 47% |
Warriors vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 24%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Golden State Warriors at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 45.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 45.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
76.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles L wins the Golden State at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
