Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 66%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 34% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 67% |
Warriors vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 66% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 34%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 66% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Minnesota Timberwolves at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 65.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. The 65.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ meant the market estimated a 66% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 66¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 52% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
66.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Golden State at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
