Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-15
nba-gsw-nyk-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks - nba
New York leads Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks at 86.4% implied probability, followed by Golden State Warriors at 14.2%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 14%.
New York currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind New York, Golden State Warriors at 14% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York: 88¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket, 88¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 13¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket, 13¢ on ProphetX. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ means the market estimates a 86% probability that New York will be the outcome. Buying one share at 86¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 16% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
New York
86.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Golden State at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
