Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 47% |
Golden State Warriors | 99% | 35% |
PhoenixWINNER | 1% | 66% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 54% |
Warriors vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 67%, Phoenix at 33%, Golden State Warriors at 27%.
Phoenix held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Golden State Warriors at 67% and Phoenix at 33% and Golden State Warriors at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 64.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 64.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
72.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Golden State vs Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
