Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-17
This market resolved on 2026-04-17. Phoenix Suns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns — NBA game held on 2026-04-17. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Phoenix SunsWINNER | 99% | 79% | 97% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 42% | 8% |
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Phoenix Suns led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 17%.
Phoenix Suns held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix Suns, Golden State Warriors at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 41.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Phoenix Suns: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 41.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Phoenix Suns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Golden State at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Phoenix Suns
91.6% avg
