Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-10
This market resolved on 2026-04-10. Sacramento Kings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings — NBA game held on 2026-04-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Sacramento KingsWINNER | 99% | 20% | 95% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 81% | 14% |
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Sacramento Kings led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 32%.
Sacramento Kings held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento Kings, Golden State Warriors at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 79.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Sacramento Kings: 99¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket, 14¢ on ProphetX. The 79.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Sacramento Kings would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Golden State at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Sacramento Kings
71.1% avg
