Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-28
This market resolved on 2025-12-28. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 5% |
Warriors vs. Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 3%.
Toronto held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Golden State Warriors at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Golden State vs Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
