Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-16
nba-gsw-was-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards - nba
Golden State Warriors leads Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards at 72.8% implied probability, followed by Washington at 27.8%. A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors leads at 73% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington at 28%.
Golden State Warriors currently leads at 73% implied probability. Behind Golden State Warriors, Washington at 28% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 69¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 32¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ means the market estimates a 73% probability that Golden State Warriors will be the outcome. Buying one share at 73¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 37% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Golden State Warriors
72.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Golden State at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
