Live prediction market odds for Rockets vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-06
This market resolved on 2025-12-06. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 29% |
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 27% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 74% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 72% |
Rockets vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 63%, Houston Rockets at 37%, Houston Rockets at 36%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Dallas Mavericks at 63% and Houston Rockets at 37% and Houston Rockets at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 72.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. The 72.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Mavericks
63.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 6, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
