Live prediction market odds for Rockets vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-15
This market resolved on 2025-12-15. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 74% |
Denver Nuggets | 99% | 50% |
Houston RocketsWINNER | 1% | 51% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 27% |
Rockets vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Rockets led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 74%, Houston Rockets at 26%, Denver Nuggets at 14%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Denver Nuggets at 74% and Houston Rockets at 26% and Denver Nuggets at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Rockets
86.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Houston vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
