Question 1

What was "Rockets vs. Thunder" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Rockets vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City at 10%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Rockets vs. Thunder"?

Accepted Answer

Houston Rockets held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 21.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Rockets vs. Thunder" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 82¢ on ProphetX. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 23¢ on ProphetX. The 21.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 94% odds for Houston Rockets mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Houston RocketsWINNER	99%	100%	82%
Oklahoma City	1%	5%	23%

Houston Rockets Wins: Rockets vs. Thunder

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Rockets vs. Thunder