Live prediction market odds for Rockets vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-21
This market resolved on 2025-12-21. Sacramento was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 58%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 17% |
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 17% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 84% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 84% |
Rockets vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sacramento led the market at 58% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 58%, Houston Rockets at 42%, Houston Rockets at 42%.
Sacramento held the lead at 58% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento, Sacramento at 58% and Houston Rockets at 42% and Houston Rockets at 42% were the next closest contenders. The 82.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. The 82.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ meant the market estimated a 58% chance that Sacramento would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 58¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 72% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Sacramento
57.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Houston vs Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
