Live prediction market odds for Pacers vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-27
This market resolved on 2025-12-27. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 71% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 30% |
Pacers vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana Pacers at 15%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Indiana Pacers at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Miami Heat
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Indiana vs Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
