Live prediction market odds for Pacers vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-06
This market resolved on 2026-02-06. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
nba-ind-mil-2026-02-06 : Sports event: Pacers vs. Bucks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 48% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 53% |
Pacers vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana Pacers at 27%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, Indiana Pacers at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Milwaukee Bucks
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Indiana at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
