Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-20
This market resolved on 2026-01-20. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 44% |
Lakers vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 22%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Denver Nuggets at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles L wins the Los Angeles L at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
