Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
nba-lal-den-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Lakers vs. Nuggets - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 63% | 62% | 99% |
Los Angeles Lakers | 38% | 39% | 2% |
Lakers vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Denver Nuggets led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 26%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Los Angeles Lakers at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 37.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Denver Nuggets: 63¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Los Angeles Lakers: 38¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 37.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Denver Nuggets
74.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Los Angeles L at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
