Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 60%.
nba-lal-gsw-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Lakers vs. Warriors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 60% | 60% | 99% |
Golden State Warriors | 41% | 41% | 1% |
Lakers vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 28%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Golden State Warriors at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 39.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Los Angeles Lakers: 60¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 41¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 39.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Los Angeles Lakers
72.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Los Angeles L at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
