Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-14
This market resolved on 2025-12-14. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 61% |
Los Angeles Lakers | 99% | 49% |
PhoenixWINNER | 1% | 52% |
Los Angeles Lakers | 1% | 40% |
Lakers vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 74%, Phoenix at 26%, Los Angeles Lakers at 20%.
Phoenix held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Los Angeles Lakers at 74% and Phoenix at 26% and Los Angeles Lakers at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles Lakers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Los Angeles L vs Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 14, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
